Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.227284 0.242316 0.258141 0.276095 0.295963 0.317347 0.342201
2025-03-16 0.193928 0.215784 0.240329 0.270193 0.305900 0.347687 0.400992
2025-03-23 0.176565 0.202933 0.234062 0.274128 0.325255 0.389671 0.479300
2025-03-30 0.160358 0.188682 0.223368 0.269960 0.332534 0.416277 0.541838
2025-04-06 0.145908 0.174695 0.210934 0.261233 0.331571 0.430461 0.588470
2025-04-13 0.134215 0.162958 0.199958 0.252724 0.329067 0.441088 0.630625
2025-04-20 0.128174 0.157917 0.197117 0.254666 0.341102 0.474186 0.714944
2025-04-27 0.123834 0.154688 0.196271 0.259059 0.356911 0.515130 0.822390
2025-05-04 0.118916 0.150252 0.193284 0.259829 0.366907 0.547757 0.922840
2025-05-11 0.113744 0.145091 0.188817 0.257819 0.371961 0.572321 1.013724
2025-05-18 0.108867 0.140032 0.184108 0.254928 0.375044 0.593540 1.103539
2025-05-25 0.103774 0.134378 0.178145 0.249512 0.373082 0.604711 1.173228
2025-06-01 0.099367 0.129610 0.173391 0.245944 0.374498 0.623827 1.272941
2025-06-08 0.095306 0.125181 0.168937 0.242598 0.376104 0.644048 1.385675
2025-06-15 0.093312 0.123681 0.168848 0.246489 0.391573 0.696832 1.619752
2025-06-22 0.089804 0.119740 0.164712 0.243095 0.392606 0.717566 1.764484
2025-06-29 0.085663 0.114665 0.158522 0.235667 0.384855 0.716359 1.833087
2025-07-06 0.081829 0.109909 0.152622 0.228368 0.376668 0.712863 1.893314
2025-07-13 0.080140 0.108363 0.151789 0.230045 0.387063 0.757767 2.177970
2025-07-20 0.078978 0.107571 0.152117 0.233823 0.402320 0.819057 2.593562
2025-07-27 0.077276 0.105857 0.150827 0.234485 0.410884 0.864354 2.983605
2025-08-03 0.075227 0.103514 0.148370 0.232758 0.413902 0.894556 3.328508
2025-08-10 0.073156 0.101061 0.145616 0.230272 0.414913 0.919138 3.674769